It’s a race right? So there may be a winner and loser right? The country who spends the most can win, or they might not, the nation that is most efficient in their expenditures has a better advantage but may have a smaller economy to tax to take action? Any state who enters into an arms race accepts the expense to its culture, economy and culture. Any nation under threat that doesn’t could lose their culture if it goes to war, and also loses its ability to do hardcore international negotiations, trade deals, etc. which may hurt its treasury and economic vitality. Okay so, let us talk.
There was an interesting article from the Garrett Hardin Society Newsletter titled;”The Tragedy of the Commons” by Garrett Hardin, 1968 which said:
“At the end of a thoughtful article on the future of nuclear war, Wiesner and York (1) concluded that: “Both sides in the arms race are… confronted by the dilemma of steadily increasing military power and steadily decreasing national security. It is our considered professional judgment that this dilemma has no technical solution. If the great powers continue to look for solutions in the region of science and technology only, the result is to worsen the situation.”
These are all great points; and as I write posts and come up with new military concepts, it has occurred to me that as we develop new and more sophisticated weapons our enemies or perhaps allies now future enemies later also work to garner those advances and better them. The RAND Corp had many papers on this, many very good, and had played war-game situations, where everyone loses, or even if you win, you really lose or have such heavy losses it’s not worth it. When a culture is destroyed, everybody wins. The people that live there, and the remainder of the global market cleaning up the mess.
During the US Civil War the North had better bullets that spiraled in flight – more accurate at a greater distance, it wasn’t long before the South had them result more casualties and lost limbs on both sides
If we create unmanned systems to do our bidding, truly autonomous, it will not be long before our potential opponent deploys the same, robots killing humans, and it only takes one unearned ego to pull the initial trigger or one megalomaniac fighter to make a no-win political impasse, so what’s the word of caution; recall human if playing with fire!
What did Einstein say;
“You Can’t Simultaneously Prepare for and Prevent War.”
What did Karl von Clausewitz state:
“Failure to Defend Your Nation Will Come at the Expense of Your Civilization.”
I hope you’ll please consider all of this.